Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.024921 0.026820 0.028803 0.031031 0.033465 0.036049 0.039001
2024-12-29 0.021685 0.024365 0.027308 0.030792 0.034815 0.039332 0.044808
2025-01-05 0.019441 0.022556 0.026110 0.030488 0.035765 0.041956 0.049824
2025-01-12 0.017562 0.020897 0.024820 0.029810 0.036034 0.043608 0.053617
2025-01-19 0.016535 0.020117 0.024444 0.030106 0.037393 0.046556 0.059110
2025-01-26 0.015535 0.019264 0.023874 0.030057 0.038236 0.048826 0.063809
2025-02-02 0.014857 0.018750 0.023667 0.030416 0.039573 0.051763 0.069553
2025-02-09 0.014009 0.017950 0.023020 0.030122 0.039979 0.053424 0.073595
2025-02-16 0.013319 0.017309 0.022531 0.029986 0.040555 0.055313 0.078046
2025-02-23 0.012665 0.016674 0.022003 0.029745 0.040941 0.056919 0.082156
2025-03-02 0.012150 0.016195 0.021655 0.029723 0.041614 0.058952 0.087016
2025-03-09 0.011563 0.015583 0.021085 0.029338 0.041717 0.060118 0.090583
2025-03-16 0.010948 0.014910 0.020401 0.028758 0.041503 0.060804 0.093465
2025-03-23 0.010474 0.014414 0.019945 0.028487 0.041733 0.062178 0.097553
2025-03-30 0.010031 0.013941 0.019498 0.028198 0.041907 0.063455 0.101553
2025-04-06 0.009528 0.013357 0.018857 0.027576 0.041513 0.063780 0.103922
2025-04-13 0.009303 0.013171 0.018799 0.027846 0.042549 0.066489 0.110645
2025-04-20 0.009009 0.012871 0.018552 0.027802 0.043062 0.068346 0.115972
2025-04-27 0.008829 0.012732 0.018541 0.028128 0.044199 0.071321 0.123572
2025-05-04 0.008513 0.012374 0.018176 0.027861 0.044315 0.072525 0.127925
2025-05-11 0.008251 0.012086 0.017908 0.027737 0.044664 0.074149 0.133198
2025-05-18 0.007981 0.011777 0.017593 0.027517 0.044830 0.075446 0.137918
2025-05-25 0.007770 0.011553 0.017402 0.027496 0.045339 0.077391 0.144083